Recent Posts

March 2026 Monthly Bond Market Review

February economic data continued to reflect the measured disinflationary progression that has characterized conditions throughout the post-pandemic normalization cycle, with

Oil Spike, Fed Meeting Ahead

The conflict with Iran remained the primary driver of market sentiment this week. Oil prices spiked as global supplies remained

Markets Face Tariffs

Trade policy uncertainty continued to shape financial markets this week as replacement tariffs under Section 122 of the Trade Act

Economic Data Signals Resilience

There was a plethora of economic data releases this week with most indicating the resilient economic backdrop remains in place.

1/15– Weekly Economic Highlights

Retail sales momentum slowed during the holiday shopping season. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales were up 2.9% in December versus 3.7% in November. On a month-over-month basis, retail sales declined 0.7% in December, following a 1.4% decline in November. The month-over-month declines were broad-based in December on a seasonally adjusted basis, with outsized declines for non-store (e-commerce) sales, electronic & appliance stores, food service & drinking places, and department stores. Sales at clothing and accessories stores were positive in December, but this followed a sharp decline in November. Sales of motor vehicles and parts and gasoline also showed relative strength in December. According to the Energy Information Administration, average US regular retail gas prices increased nearly 6% in the month. Excluding vehicles and gas, retail sales fell 2.1% in December, following a 1.3% decline in November.

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