January 2021 – Bond Market Review

While we remain optimistic about the longer-term outlook, recent economic data suggests that the economy has lost momentum as virus cases have risen. We believe the near-term will remain challenging as the labor market remains under pressure and many regions have renewed business restrictions due to the virus. However, the passage of a new $900 billion COVID-19 fiscal relief bill should help cushion the economy over the next few months, and we believe the incoming Presidential administration will have a keen focus on accelerating vaccine distribution and getting the economy back on track. While the vaccine rollout has gotten off to a slow start, we expect more widespread distribution of vaccines in the second and third quarter of 2021. We also expect the Fed’s highly accommodative monetary policy framework will continue to provide support for the financial markets.

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